Market Data Suggest Russia Isn’t Cutting Oil Production As Promised

Oil deliveries out of Russia have not dropped in current months regardless of the Russian promise to cut production by 500,000 barrels each day (bpd) from March onwards, a Bloomberg analysis of shipping information revealed on Friday.

The most current tanker-tracking information recommend that rather of falling, Russian petroleum exports by sea are increasing

The typical four-week crude deliveries from Russian export terminals increased for a 6th successive week in the week to Might 19, according to tanker-tracking information reported by Bloomberg’s Julian Lee

Russia’s petroleum exports balanced in the 4 weeks almost 4 million bpd, up by 15% compared to the deliveries in the very first week of April. The four-week typical volume of exports was the greatest given that Bloomberg began keeping track of Russian crude deliveries in information at the start of 2022, when Russia attacked Ukraine.

Russia has stated that the 500,000 bpd cuts will now extend up until completion of 2023, however petroleum export information in current weeks do not show any cuts– on the contrary, Russian petroleum exports by sea are increasing.

Previously this month, reports emerged that Russian Deputy Energy Minister Pavel Sorokin looked for to persuade Western experts in an uncommon call that Russia is undoubtedly minimizing its oil production by 500,000 bpd.

However recently, the International Energy Company (IEA) stated that Russia had stopped working up until now to cut its oil production by 500,000 bpd as guaranteed, and it might even be wanting to enhance output to make up for lost profits.

Russian petroleum and oil item exports continue to show resistant, with exports striking in April the greatest level given that the intrusion of Ukraine, at 8.3 million bpd, the IEA stated in its closely-watched Oil Market Report

” By our quotes, Moscow did not provide its revealed 500 kb/d supply cut in complete. Certainly, Russia might be increasing volumes to offset lost earnings,” the IEA stated.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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